Dartmouth
W-L: ( 8- 7) PR = 90.2283Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 214 H Bryant America Eas (10- 7, 83.6) 19- 6 218 A New Hampshire America Eas ( 4-12, 75.9) 22- 3 221 A Wagner Northeast ( 6- 9, 74.0) 23- 2 228 A Harvard Ivy League ( 6- 9, 88.8) 17-10 302 H Holy Cross Patriot ( 7-10, 83.6) 16- 8 307 H Penn Ivy League ( 8- 8, 89.1) 10-14 310 H Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (16- 3, 89.5) 14-17 321 A Florida Big 12 (15- 4, 93.4) 10-13 323 A Mercer Big South (13- 7, 85.5) 17- 8 328 A Cornell Ivy League ( 9- 6, 90.7) 6-11 404 H Yale Ivy League (13- 5, 91.9) 8-11 411 A Brown Ivy League ( 8- 7, 89.2) 9-12 414 A Massachusetts-Lowell America Eas ( 6-10, 79.2) 23- 5 418 H Columbia Ivy League ( 7- 8, 83.4) 19- 9 425 A Princeton Ivy League (11- 7, 92.6) 7-17
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 H Bryant 19- 6 13 8 ++ 5.03
218 A New Hampshire 22- 3 19 13 1.00
221 A Wagner 23- 2 21 15 0.00
228 A Harvard 17-10 7 0 +++ 6.94
302 H Holy Cross 16- 8 8 8 0.02
307 H Penn 10-14 -4 2 --- -6.46
310 H Massachusetts 14-17 -3 2 -- -5.12
321 A Florida 10-13 -3 -5 1.56
323 A Mercer 17- 8 9 3 ++ 5.62
328 A Cornell 6-11 -5 -2 - -3.11
404 H Yale 8-11 -3 0 - -2.70
411 A Brown 9-12 -3 0 - -2.65
414 A Massachusetts-Lowell 23- 5 18 10 ++ 4.32
418 H Columbia 19- 9 10 8 1.79
425 A Princeton 7-17 -10 -4 --- -6.23
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Penn 10-14 -4 2 --- -6.46 425 A Princeton 7-17 -10 -4 --- -6.23 310 H Massachusetts 14-17 -3 2 -- -5.12 328 A Cornell 6-11 -5 -2 - -3.11 404 H Yale 8-11 -3 0 - -2.70 411 A Brown 9-12 -3 0 - -2.65 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Harvard 17-10 7 0 +++ 6.94 214 H Bryant 19- 6 13 8 ++ 5.03 323 A Mercer 17- 8 9 3 ++ 5.62 414 A Massachusetts-Lowell 23- 5 18 10 ++ 4.32 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Bryant (10- 7, 83.6) 19- 6 -16.28 23.89 -1.37 1.15 52.02
3 A New Hampshire ( 4-12, 75.9) 22- 3 -24.04 16.13 1.37 1.15 40.41
3 A Wagner ( 6- 9, 74.0) 23- 2 -25.95 14.22 1.37 1.15 36.01
3 A Harvard ( 6- 9, 88.8) 17-10 -11.10 29.07 1.37 1.15 70.30
3 H Holy Cross ( 7-10, 83.6) 16- 8 -16.29 23.88 -1.37 1.15 52.00
3 H Penn ( 8- 8, 89.1) 10-14 -10.76 29.40 -1.37 1.15 -7.01
3 H Massachusetts (16- 3, 89.5) 14-17 -10.43 29.74 -1.37 1.15 -6.81
3 A Florida (15- 4, 93.4) 10-13 -6.48 33.69 1.37 1.15 -2.95
3 A Mercer (13- 7, 85.5) 17- 8 -14.42 25.75 1.37 1.15 62.63
3 A Cornell ( 9- 6, 90.7) 6-11 -9.15 31.02 1.37 1.15 -4.49
3 H Yale (13- 5, 91.9) 8-11 -8.00 32.17 -1.37 1.15 -5.41
3 A Brown ( 8- 7, 89.2) 9-12 -10.69 29.48 1.37 1.15 -5.38
3 A Massachusetts- ( 6-10, 79.2) 23- 5 -20.72 19.44 1.37 1.15 48.07
3 H Columbia ( 7- 8, 83.4) 19- 9 -16.51 23.66 -1.37 1.15 51.48
3 A Princeton (11- 7, 92.6) 7-17 -7.27 32.90 1.37 1.15 -3.41
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377.47
|
winning pts = 412.9312 losing points = -35.4642
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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